Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.353124 1.596173 1.850224 2.133961 2.440462 2.760159 3.117438
2024-12-22 0.981282 1.314464 1.685376 2.121894 2.615185 3.149756 3.767508
2024-12-29 0.797030 1.174090 1.613147 2.148050 2.769663 3.458605 4.269884
2025-01-05 0.648183 1.051988 1.543367 2.161406 2.897514 3.729035 4.723490
2025-01-12 0.513070 0.924354 1.448156 2.127747 2.955931 3.907665 5.061481
2025-01-19 0.462508 0.899771 1.474931 2.236917 3.179450 4.274433 5.613176
2025-01-26 0.423347 0.884493 1.508977 2.351435 3.406695 4.643734 6.166634
2025-02-02 0.394955 0.880265 1.554543 2.478313 3.647605 5.028479 6.737989
2025-02-09 0.376457 0.887832 1.614048 2.621772 3.908238 5.436524 7.336970
2025-02-16 0.341203 0.864540 1.628137 2.704108 4.091552 5.751211 7.825644
2025-02-23 0.293840 0.815211 1.601561 2.729822 4.201643 5.976114 8.206919
2025-03-02 0.221379 0.711261 1.488863 2.634594 4.154098 6.006312 8.353542
2025-03-09 0.160277 0.617951 1.388939 2.558310 4.136385 6.081907 8.567461
2025-03-16 0.117915 0.550120 1.321457 2.522535 4.168328 6.217168 8.852761
2025-03-23 0.095167 0.518325 1.307262 2.559103 4.292785 6.465465 9.273400
2025-03-30 0.072490 0.479347 1.277659 2.571139 4.383239 6.670421 9.640932
2025-04-06 0.048446 0.425594 1.217654 2.534964 4.406440 6.788740 9.900861
2025-04-13 0.044684 0.431929 1.262596 2.654889 4.640971 7.175361 10.491688
2025-04-20 0.041847 0.440540 1.311485 2.780882 4.884105 7.573456 11.097421
2025-04-27 0.040431 0.453809 1.368892 2.920023 5.145632 7.995596 11.733675
2025-05-04 0.040679 0.473262 1.437853 3.077072 5.432160 8.450280 12.411001
2025-05-11 0.035234 0.469222 1.462910 3.167047 5.626840 8.787861 12.943841
2025-05-18 0.026011 0.444838 1.448235 3.195128 5.735839 9.015446 13.340259